Nearly all schoolchildren in at least 30 states could soon apply for a new federal scholarship to help pay for private school, homeschooling, and other educational expenses, under regulations proposed on October 1, 2026, by the Trump administration.

The program, called the Federal Scholarship Tax Credit, is the first national school choice scholarship in U.S. history, the Associated Press reported. It launches in January 2027 and works through donations: taxpayers who give money to approved nonprofit scholarship organizations receive a federal tax credit, and those organizations pass the money on as scholarships to students.

Federal school scholarships under the plan would be unusually broad. About 96 percent of children in participating states should be eligible, according to the Education Department. Unlike most state-level programs, students would not have to leave public school to qualify: kids attending public schools could use the money for extra learning expenses such as tutoring or special education therapies, although the administration has not yet spelled out exactly which expenses count.

States have to opt in, and more than 30 already have, including Kentucky, where a statewide nonprofit called the Kentucky Education Fund was set up to administer scholarships across all 120 counties, the Kentucky Lantern reported. Regulators say they designed the program to be easier for low-income families to access, proposing that proof of participation in a government assistance program can substitute for income documentation, and foster children would not need any income verification at all.

How big could this get?

The numbers are where this story gets striking. Taxpayers who donate to scholarship organizations can claim a federal credit worth up to about seventeen hundred dollars, which means the program’s size depends entirely on how many people give. The American Federation for Children, one of the advocacy groups that pushed for the credit, estimates that at the top end the program could generate as much as 160 billion dollars a year if every eligible donor contributed the full amount.

Experts say the realistic figure is far smaller, roughly 25 billion to 50 billion dollars a year. Even that range would dwarf what the federal government currently spends on its biggest school programs: Title I, which funds schools serving low-income students, gets about 18 billion dollars, and the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act gets around 15 billion, reported by The 74.

To put those figures in context, state-level school choice programs have been around for decades across the South and other conservative-led states, offering individual grants ranging from a few thousand dollars to more than thirty thousand dollars a year. An AP analysis found that in states where the money is available to everyone, like Florida and Arizona, the majority of students using it were already enrolled in private or home school, or came from affluent neighborhoods.

Awareness remains low. Polling from EdChoice and Morning Consult found that 40 percent of adults had never heard of the new tax credit, and another 17 percent had heard only a little. Once it was explained, 64 percent expressed support while the rest were opposed or undecided. Parents of school-age children knew about it more than adults generally, but a quarter of them had heard nothing.

Supporters see freedom; critics see a diversion

Supporters frame the program as the biggest expansion of education choice in American history. Education Secretary Linda McMahon said in a statement that education freedom would unlock opportunity for the next generation, arguing every child deserves access to the education they need rather than one limited by ZIP code, family income, or government barriers.

Choice advocates like Jim Blew of the conservative Defense of Freedom Institute argue the point goes beyond private school. Educational freedom, he said, means the ability of families to direct a child’s education, including tutoring and therapies inside public schools.

The counterpoint is sharp. Kim Anderson, executive director of the National Education Association, told supporters the union’s members oppose the program, which the NEA views as a diversion of public taxpayer dollars away from public schools. The union argues vouchers weaken public education and steer money to private institutions without the accountability that public schools face.

Disability advocates are among the strongest critics, noting that public schools must follow federal disability law requiring a free and appropriate education for every child with a disability, while private schools are not bound by the same rules and can turn students away or serve them poorly.

What happens next, and why it matters for students

The federal school scholarships proposal is still at the regulation stage. The White House has been reviewing the draft rules, and officials say final rules could change after public comments. The timeline so far: Congress created the program in last year’s tax law, Kentucky and other states opted in through the summer of 2026, and the administration issued its proposed rules on October 1, 2026, with the launch set for January 1, 2027.

Some public school districts are already trying to make the program work in their favor. Georgetown University’s Edunomics Lab has proposed using scholarship money to cover tutoring, sports, arts, and counseling that districts might otherwise cut, reported by Chalkbeat. Districts in places like Clark County, Nevada, are exploring that model, hoping local donors will fund services students already use. Not everyone approves of that strategy, but it shows the program could touch far more than private-school families.

For students, the stakes are concrete. If the program reaches anywhere near its projected scale, it would be the largest single federal investment in K-12 education, available for everything from private tuition to afterschool tutoring. Whether it narrows opportunity gaps or widens them will depend on which families apply, which states stay in, and how the final rules define eligible expenses.

See also Gen Z Voters Could Decide the 2026 Midterms: Here’s the Data, and explore the Youth Activists desk.